How pros think about this decision (and why they’re boring on purpose)
Look, nobody pours a second coffee and says, “I can’t wait to compare margin rates to my mortgage APR.” But that’s exactly what the pros do. They strip the emotion out and ask a simple, kind of cold question: do you want a risk-free(ish) return equal to your after-tax mortgage rate, or a risky, leveraged return in a brokerage account that can swing around and, yes, trigger a margin call? That’s the frame. Not vibes. Not “I hate debt.” Math, after tax, risk-adjusted. I know, thrilling.
Here’s the thing for 2025: the mortgage side is the “boring” benchmark. Prepaying principal is a guaranteed return equal to your interest cost after taxes. If your 30-year fixed is 6.75% and you don’t itemize deductions, your after-tax cost is still 6.75%, so an extra dollar to the mortgage “earns” 6.75% with zero volatility. If you do itemize, then use the after-tax rate (rate × [1, marginal tax benefit]). Small catch: most households don’t itemize anymore. The Tax Policy Center estimated only about 10% of filers itemized in 2022 after the TCJA raised the standard deduction, so for many people the mortgage payoff rate is basically the sticker rate. Boring, but clean.
Margin investing sits on the other side of the seesaw. You’re borrowing at a broker’s margin rate to buy more risk assets. That’s use. Pros model the spread between expected returns and the after-tax borrowing cost and then haircut it for volatility and drawdowns. And yes, I just said “risk-adjusted”, which is jargon for “what’s the return after accounting for how much it can whipsaw your net worth and your blood pressure.”
Regulatory guardrails matter: under Federal Reserve Regulation T, initial margin for equities is typically 50%, and FINRA’s minimum maintenance margin is 25% (brokers often require 30-40%). If your positions drop, you can get a margin call and be forced to sell at the worst moment.
History isn’t shy about those worst moments. The S&P 500 fell about 49% in 2000-2002, about 57% in 2007-2009, and roughly 34% in just 33 days during Feb-Mar 2020. That’s the kind of stress test pros apply before borrowing against a portfolio. Could your cash flow handle a 30-50% hit without a forced liquidation? If the honest answer is “maybe,” that’s not a small detail.
Anyway, the decision in 2025 isn’t one-size-fits-all because your variables aren’t mine: your rate, your tax status, your time horizon, and, you know, whether your job/income is rock-solid or a bit lumpy. Cash flow flexibility is huge. So is the sleep-at-night factor. I’ve spent two decades watching smart people chase a spread and then hate their life when volatility shows up. I’ve also seen folks pay down a 6-7% mortgage and feel like they gave themselves a raise. I’m still figuring this out myself, occassionally, because circumstances change.
So basically, in this section you’ll see how disciplined investors set it up: compare the after-tax mortgage “return” to the after-tax cost of margin, adjust for volatility and the real probability of a margin call, and overlay your time horizon and income stability. If you mix pre-tax with after-tax, the numbers lie. And if you ignore drawdowns, the market will remind you, sometimes loudly, why the boring answer often wins.
Margin math vs. mortgage math: the breakeven you actually care about
Here’s the thing: if you mix pre-tax with after-tax, the spreadsheet flatters the margin trade. Keep everything after-tax and it gets honest, fast.
Mortgage side (after-tax “return” from prepaying): roughly your mortgage rate × (1 − tax benefit). Most households don’t itemize, so the tax benefit is often zero. IRS data show only about ~10% of filers itemized in 2021 after the TCJA raised the standard deduction. So for many folks, a 6.5% mortgage really costs about 6.5% after-tax. If you do itemize and can actually deduct mortgage interest, a 6.5% rate in the 24% bracket nets to ~4.94%.
Margin side (after-tax incremental return on borrowed dollars): expected portfolio return − margin rate × (1 − investment interest tax benefit) − taxes on dividends/gains. Quick reminders: investment interest expense is only deductible up to net investment income; lots of people recieve little or no benefit there. And yes, ETF deferral helps, but dividends still show up. The S&P 500 dividend yield has hovered around ~1.3-1.5% this year (2025), which you’ll pay tax on unless it’s in a tax-advantaged account.
Breakeven condition:
Expected after-tax portfolio return > After-tax mortgage cost + a risk premium buffer
Why the buffer? Because sequence risk is real. Early losses with use hurt more than average returns help. A 1.5× levered equity sleeve that sees a −20% year is roughly −30% before interest; climbing out takes time even if averages look fine on paper.
Three ways to run it (don’t cherry-pick):
- Conservative: No itemization, mortgage at 6.5% after-tax. Margin rate 7% (typical retail tiering still prints mid-to-high single digits at the low end; legacy brokers can be higher). Expected equity ETF return 7% nominal long term (US large caps have averaged ~10% since 1926, but call it 7% to be sober), tax drag ~1% from dividends. After-tax margin return ≈ 7% − 7% − 1% = −1%. That’s a hard no.
- Base case: You actually itemize at 24%, so mortgage cost ~4.94%. Margin rate 6%. Expected after-tax portfolio return 7.5% (say 8.5% nominal minus ~1% tax). After-tax margin return ≈ 7.5% − 6% = 1.5% (assuming minimal investment interest deduction benefit). Breakeven asks 1.5% > 4.94% + buffer. It’s not. Even with a small 1-2% buffer for risk, the spread is underwater.
- Stressed: Same as base, but market drops 20% in year one. At 1.25× use you’re ~−25% before interest. You might be fine long term, but the cash calls and behavioral hit in year one tend to erase the “expected” edge. This actually reminds me of 2022 when plenty of people met volatility with forced de-risking, exactly the wrong moment.
Look, I get it: if your margin rate is unusually low and your mortgage is high, you might be hunting a small positive spread. But real-world conditions this year aren’t exactly tailwinds: 30-year fixed rates have bounced in the 6-7.5% zone across 2024-2025 per Freddie Mac’s survey, and equity yields are still skinny. Honestly, you probably need a clearly higher expected after-tax portfolio return and a tight risk plan just to justify skipping a near-certain 5-7% after-tax “return” from prepaying.
Circling back: the math says margin beats prepayment only when three things line up, (1) your true after-tax investing edge exceeds your after-tax mortgage cost, (2) you add a risk premium because drawdowns arrive on their own schedule, and (3) your liquidity can handle a bad first year without puking the position. If any one of those stumbles, the mortgage prepay wins on both math and sleep-at-night. Anyway, that’s the breakeven that actually matters.
2025 reality check: rates, taxes, and broker terms that actually bite
Here’s the thing: the stuff that actually moves your breakeven right now isn’t mysterious, it’s the boring rules and the very real rates you actually pay. Mortgage rates have stayed sticky, Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey shows 30-year fixed averages mostly in the mid-6s to low-7s across 2024 and into 2025, with plenty of weeks printing a “7” handle. Meanwhile, equity dividend yields are still low by historical standards, so the after-tax spread that looked cute in a spreadsheet last year might be gone today. Rates have been volatile since 2022, and they still swing; that volatility matters if you’re leaning on margin.
Tax rules people keep forgetting in 2025 (yes, they still apply):
- Mortgage interest deduction limits: Under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (2017), mortgage interest on acquisition debt is generally deductible only up to $750,000 of principal for loans originated after Dec 15, 2017. Older, grandfathered loans can still use the $1,000,000 cap. If you cash-out refinanced above your acquisition balance, the extra often doesn’t qualify as acquisition debt, so don’t assume the whole thing is deductible.
- SALT cap: The state and local tax deduction cap remains $10,000 through 2025 under TCJA. That cap compresses the benefit you recieve from mortgage interest because many taxpayers hit $10k on property + state income taxes alone, which means your incremental mortgage interest might not reduce your taxable income as much as you think. And if you don’t itemize, the mortgage interest deduction does nothing, sounds obvious, but this is where a lot of back-of-the-napkin math goes sideways.
- Investment interest expense (margin interest): Deductible only up to net investment income under longstanding IRS rules (see Pub. 550). Excess carries forward. Translation: if your portfolio income is mostly long-term gains you haven’t realized or tax-deferred stuff, you might not get a current-year deduction for those chunky margin interest charges. The deduction is there, but it’s gated.
Broker margin terms that matter more than the ad copy:
- Reg T initial margin = 50%. This is the long-standing Federal Reserve rule for new stock purchases on margin.
- FINRA base maintenance = 25%. That’s the regulatory floor for equity maintenance, but brokers routinely set higher house requirements, 30%, 40%, 60%+ for volatile names, and they can change them anytime. I’ve seen brokers hike maintenance during rough tapes with minimal notice; you get an email at 6:42 a.m. and your “comfortable buffer” isn’t comfortable anymore.
- Your real rate is tiered and moveable. Many brokers post tiered schedules where small balances sit at high single to low double digits APR, and only very large balances get a break. Also, the “as low as” teaser you saw on a banner might be for $1 million+ or an intro promo; check the actual line item on your statement today, not last quarter.
Actionable sanity check: verify your current mortgage coupon (APR, not just the note rate if you paid points), your itemized deduction status under the $10k SALT cap, and your broker’s stated margin rate and maintenance tiers as of this week. Not the marketing page, the rate on your account.
So, when you put this together in 2025: if your mortgage was originated after 12/15/2017 and is above $750k, part of the interest probably isn’t deductible; if you’re in a high-tax state, the $10k SALT cap may already blunt your itemized deductions; and if your margin interest isn’t matched by net investment income, the tax benefit is deferred, not gone, but deferred. Meanwhile, Reg T at 50% and the 25% FINRA floor don’t protect you from your broker’s house rules, which can, and do, tighten during volatility. It’s messy, I know. Actually, let me rephrase that: it’s manageable, but only if you build your plan around the rules as they are this year, not as you wish they were.
One more thing because it keeps biting people: rates since 2022 have been jumpy; your margin APR can change without you doing anything, and your mortgage is probably fixed but not cheap. If your after-tax expected return isn’t comfortably above that real, after-tax borrowing cost with a cushion for a bad quarter, the math usually doesn’t pencil, and you don’t want to learn that during a -15% drawdown when the maintenance call hits on a Friday afternoon. Anyway, check the fine print now, while it’s still calm enough to make changes.
Risk isn’t symmetrical: margin calls, drawdowns, and career risk
Look, a fixed-rate mortgage lets you ride out storms. Margin doesn’t. With margin, the broker is your silent partner who gets very chatty when prices fall. If your equity slips below maintenance, you don’t get to “wait it out”, you’re forced to sell into weakness. That’s the opposite of how long-term compounding works. Quick reality check: in March 2020 the S&P 500 fell about 34% peak-to-trough in a few weeks. In 2022, it was down roughly 25% intrayear from January to October. If you were at 2:1 use in either episode, your equity drawdown before interest was in the ballpark of -68% and -50%, respectively. Most house maintenance levels (often 30%-40% on volatile assets) don’t tolerate that. Calls happen fast.
There’s also the volatility tax. Arithmetic averages lie to levered portfolios. The geometric return lags because volatility compounds against you; a rough rule is that your long term growth rate drops by about half the variance you take. You see a backtest showing 8% average return, add 1.5x use, and think you’ll beat the mortgage at 6% after tax? Maybe on paper. In practice, that extra variance can carve 100-200 bps off the compound rate, and the carry cost doesn’t care that the spreadsheet said you’d be fine.
Sequence risk is the sneaky cousin. Bad early returns with use can set you back years vs. the guaranteed, mechanical mortgage payoff. Question: can a -20% first-year hit really crater a 5-year plan? Answer: yes, because you’re rebuilding from a smaller equity base while paying a floating rate. Honestly, I wasn’t sure about this either the first time I modeled it in 2007, then 2008 happened, and, well, plans changed mid-flight.
Correlation risk might be the one that keeps me up. Income stress tends to show up when markets are down. In 2009, U.S. unemployment hit 10.0% (BLS). In April 2020 it spiked to 14.7% (BLS). Those were also periods when equities were under pressure. That’s exactly when margin calls arrive, right when cash flow to meet them is most uncertain. It’s not bad luck, it’s the cycle.
So, what to actually do, because, yes, margin can make sense for some, but only with guardrails:
- Hard max use: Set a ceiling (e.g., 1.3x on diversified indexes; lower on single names). If VIX > 30, auto-deleverage to target. No exceptions.
- Maintenance headroom: Run at least 15-20 pts above house maintenance. If your broker requires 30%, operate at 50% or better.
- Liquidity buffer: Keep 6-12 months of interest expense in cash or T-bills. Earlier this year, many retail margin rates still ran ~8-12% APR across brokers; budget for that range and a surprise hike.
- Diversification: Broad funds over single stocks; avoid correlated bets (no doubling up on tech beta + options + RSUs from your employer).
- Stress tests: Model -30% on equities, spreads widening, and margin rates +200 bps. If you can’t meet calls without selling risk assets, you’re too tight.
- Exit rules: Precommit to deleverage thresholds, don’t negotiate with yourself at 2 a.m.
Rule of thumb I use: if a -25% market move plus 200 bps on borrow would push you within 5 pts of maintenance, you’re already over your skis.
Anyway, margin isn’t a mortgage. A mortgage is a one-way door to less risk over time; margin is a revolving door that spins faster when volatility picks up. The asymmetry is what gets people: a few good months feel great, then one bad week takes it all back.. but that’s just my take on it.
Run the numbers: practical scenarios for 2025 households
So, let’s keep this very plain-vanilla and spreadsheet-ready. I’ll lay out the assumptions, keep them conservative, and show the sensitivities. If any one input looks off for your situation, tweak it and re-run. No fairy dust.
1) High-rate mortgage vs. moderate returns: when prepayment shines
Assumptions: 30-year fixed at 6.9% (the 30-year averaged 6.81% in 2023 per Freddie Mac PMMS; this year it’s been hovering in the high-6s), $500k balance, 25 years remaining, you expect a 5.5% nominal market return next decade (call it 3% real + 2.5% inflation). Cash is earning ~5.0% in T-bills (3- to 6-month bills have sat roughly 5.0%-5.3% earlier this year).
Math sketch: Each $10k prepayment “earns” a risk-free 6.9% before tax, which is tough to beat with a 5.5% expected equity return, especially after taxes and volatility. Even if you itemize, with the SALT cap stuck at $10k through 2025 under TCJA, many households don’t fully deduct mortgage interest. Sensitivity: if your expected return is 7% and your rate is 6.1%, invest might edge out, but only if you can stomach drawdowns. Speaking of which..
2) Older low-coupon mortgage + high taxable income: the edge often shrinks
Assumptions: 3.0% mortgage from 2021 (lucky you), high W-2 income, SALT already capped at $10k, and you’re taking the standard deduction (2024 MFJ was $29,200; 2025 is indexed a bit higher). Your after-tax carry on that mortgage is basically 3.0% because the interest may not be incremental vs the standard deduction. In that case, keeping the 3% loan and holding T-bills at ~5% before tax (say ~3.8%-4.2% after federal at typical brackets, state varies) actually nets positive. Edge case: if you’re in AMT or phase-outs, recheck. Anyway, the punchline is prepaying a 3% fixed when cash yields ~5% doesn’t pencil unless you want the guaranteed deleveraging (which, honestly, is a perfectly fine reason).
3) Taxable account vs. IRA/401(k): don’t mix the buckets with margin
Reminder: Investment interest expense is only deductible up to net investment income (IRC §163(d)); it does not offset wages, and IRA/401(k) distributions generally don’t count as investment income for this purpose. Translation: Using margin in a taxable account to “arb” while your retirement money sits untouched can leave you with nondeductible interest if your dividends/interest are small. Better sequence: max tax-advantaged accounts first (especially if you have a match), then consider any use. I’ve seen people try to “borrow at 8% to keep contributing” and end up with a tax headache. Don’t do that.
4) Short horizon (≤5 years) + goals funding
If you need the cash inside five years for a house down payment, tuition, or you’re retiring soon, margin is usually a mismatch. Use a simple ladder of T-bills or short-duration Treasuries/IG (1-3 year). At recent levels near 5% for T-bills, you can hit many goals without flirting with a margin call. This actually reminds me of 2018-2020 when folks stretched for yield; today you don’t have to stretch, just take the front-end carry. Look, this might be getting complicated, but the principle is simple: match duration to your liability.
5) Stress test the use: -30% equity, +200 bps on borrow, maintenance hike
Start: $200k equity, $100k margin loan (33% gross use), rate 8.0%, maintenance 30%. Market drops 30% in year one: assets go from $300k to $210k. Broker bumps maintenance to 35% and raises margin rate to 10.0% (200 bps higher). New equity: $110k. Maintenance requirement: 35% × $210k = $73.5k. You’re above it, but your buffer shrinks to 17.3 pts. If you were at 40% maintenance (common for single-name or concentrated positions) you’d still be okay here, but add another -10% and you’re flirting with a call. Cash interest cost also jumps from $8k to $10k per year. If dividends get cut in a downturn, your net carry worsens. One more twist: if your broker tightens house rules (they do, occassionally), your maintenance could go 35%→40% overnight.
Quick scenario menu you can mirror
- Prepay tilt: If mortgage rate ≥ expected after-tax portfolio return, prepay wins. Example: 6.9% vs 5.5% expected, favor prepay except for liquidity needs.
- Keep the cheap loan: If mortgage ≤ 3.5% and your cash/bond ladder ≥ 4.5% after-tax, keep the loan and hold safe paper. Re-test if rates fall later this year.
- Tax bucket check: Margin interest only offsets investment income; IRA/401(k) distributions won’t help. Don’t plan on a deduction you can’t use.
- Five-year goal: No margin. Use T-bills/short-duration. Revisit annually.
- Stress test: Model -30% equities, +200 bps borrow, and maintenance +5-10 pts. If you can’t meet calls with cash (not by selling risk assets), scale down.
Here’s the thing: if your plan only works when markets go up and rates go down, it’s not a plan, it’s wishful thinking. Build for the bad tape.
Actually, let me rephrase that: you don’t need to be a hero. In 2025, with front-end yields still doing some of the heavy lifting and mortgage rates not exactly a bargain, boring math often beats clever structures. I know, not sexy, but it tends to work. And yes, I’ve learned that the hard way, twice.
Do it the pro way: a step-by-step checklist before you touch use
Look, if you’re still leaning toward margin instead of accelerating the mortgage, at least put guardrails around it. Markets still feel twitchy in 2025, front-end yields are decent, and margin rates at many brokers are nowhere near cheap. Honestly, I wasn’t sure about this either the first time I layered margin over a mortgage, it worked until it didn’t, and that lesson sticks.
- Cap your use up front: Target initial loan-to-portfolio (LTP) ≤15-25%. If your plan only pencils at 40-50%, it’s not a plan. For context, the Fed’s Regulation T requires 50% initial margin for stock purchases (Federal Reserve Board, Reg T), and FINRA’s minimum maintenance for long equities is 25% (FINRA Rule 4210). Brokers often set higher house maintenance, 30-40% isn’t unusual, especially when volatility jumps.
- Hold a separate cash buffer: Keep 6-12 months of expenses in a different account from the margined portfolio. This is your margin-call protection and your life happens fund. Don’t rely on selling risk assets into a down tape to meet calls. Separate means separate, you shouldn’t have to transfer from the same account that’s melting.
- Diversify for real: A single-stock position on margin is a widowmaker. Spread across asset classes, broad equity, investment-grade bonds or T-bills, maybe some alternatives with low correlation. In 2022, the S&P 500’s peak-to-trough drawdown was roughly -25% and the calendar-year return was about -19%; concentrated names did far worse. This year might be calmer, but “probably calmer” isn’t a risk policy.
- Automate risk controls: Set portfolio-level alerts at a 35% drawdown, and write pre-set de-use rules, e.g., cut margin by one-third if drawdown hits 20%, another third at 30%. No averaging down with borrowed money. If you’re tempted, that’s the signal to stop. Also, as I mentioned earlier, maintenance requirements can jump mid-storm; build rules that don’t assume today’s house margin is permanent.
- Mind the rate math: If your broker’s margin rate floats, define a pain point, say, if the rate rises 150-200 bps from your start level, you reduce exposure by half. Rate shocks happen. Earlier this year we saw short-term funding costs wobble with every “higher for longer” headline. Don’t try to out-clever your lender.
- Tax hygiene (unsexy but critical): Track investment interest expense carefully, under IRS rules, it’s deductible only against net investment income; unused amounts carry forward indefinitely (IRS Pub. 550). Keep lot-level detail for tax-loss harvesting and rebalancing. Avoid wash-sale headaches, the 30-day window before/after a sale applies across accounts, including spouse’s taxable accounts. Rebalancing while on margin gets messy fast if you don’t tag lots correctly.
- Pre-define exit criteria: Write them down now, before emotions take the wheel. Examples: reduce margin if (a) your income drops materially, (b) implied equity vol spikes above a level you set, say VIX > 30 for a week, (c) broker raises maintenance by 5-10 points, or (d) portfolio drawdown breaches your alert bands. If two triggers hit at once, you de-risk faster. No “hoping it comes back.”
- Liquidity drills: Practice the unwind. How many days to flatten margin without hitting wide spreads? Which positions are first out? You should be able to list them in order. I’m serious, write the list. You’ll never have more clarity than on a calm Friday afternoon, not on a gap-down Monday.
Here’s the thing: margin can be a tool, not a lifestyle. If you keep LTP at 15-25%, maintain 6-12 months’ cash outside the blast radius, and respect the IRS and Reg T guardrails, you cut most of the ways this can go sideways. And if you’re thinking, “But what if markets just grind higher?” Sure, that happens. The plan still works. If they don’t, and occassionally they really don’t, you’ll still sleep at night. Anyway, build for the bad tape and you’ll probably survive the good one too.
The 2025 takeaway: wealth favors simple, repeatable wins
So, here’s where the rubber meets the road. If your after-tax mortgage rate is meaningfully higher than a conservative, after-tax portfolio expectation, prepayment is the clean, risk-free return. No heroics. As a reference point, the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey showed the average 30-year fixed at roughly 6.7% in August 2025. If you don’t itemize, your after-tax rate is basically the sticker rate. And most households don’t itemize, IRS Statistics of Income data show roughly 87-90% of filers used the standard deduction in 2021, which still holds as a decent proxy today. If your realistic, after-tax portfolio bogey is, say, 4-5%, which is where a lot of balanced, tax-aware portfolios land over a full cycle, extra principal payments are a layup. You’re not beating 6-7% guaranteed with low-risk assets consistently, you just aren’t.
Speaking of which, cash and short Treasuries have cooled a bit from last year’s peaks but are still solid, 3-6 month bills have been hovering around the mid-4s to near-5% for stretches in 2025. Good, not great, and importantly: prepayment “yields” don’t fluctuate, they lock in. Honestly, I wasn’t sure about this either back when my own rate reset higher, then I ran the math after taxes and fees and, well, the spreadsheet did the talking.
On margin: keep it small, rules-based, and funded with money you can de-lever without selling in a crash. That means sizing more like seasoning than the main course, think single-digit to low-teens LTP when conditions are calm, and a plan to cut it quickly. Broker terms are not static. We’ve seen retail margin rates drift with policy moves; even the low-cost shops quote tiers that can move 50-100 bps without much ceremony. If your spread to expected returns compresses, downshift. Margin is a tool, not an identity.
Quarterly check-ins, 2025 edition:
- Rates: If your mortgage or HELOC rate floats, re-run the prepay math every quarter. Don’t guess, update the cells.
- Broker terms: Validate margin rates, house requirements, and dividend credit policies. They change, sometimes quietly.
- Taxes: TCJA provisions are scheduled to sunset at year-end 2025. That could shift whether you itemize, your SALT cap ($10k under TCJA), and the value of the mortgage interest deduction in 2026. Plan now so you’re not scrambling in Q4.
You don’t need use to build wealth, steady saving, tax efficiency, and smart asset allocation do more work than most people give them credit for. Max the accounts you can (401(k), HSA, IRA if eligible), harvest losses when the tape gifts you red days, place high-yield and taxable bonds in tax-deferred, keep equities and muni exposure where they make sense. It’s boring; it’s also how compounding shows up, slow, then faster, then suddenly meaningful.
Make a choice you can stick with for years. If prepay math wins today, automate extra principal and forget the debate. If you keep a sliver of margin, codify entries/exits and size so a 20% drawdown is annoying, not life-altering. Your future self will thank you when markets get noisy, and they will. Anyway, the point (said with too many words, I know) is simple: pick the policy that survives bad tapes, respects after-tax reality, and requires the least willpower to maintain. Do that, and let time do its thing… while you go live your life.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Is it better to pay extra on my 6.75% mortgage or invest on margin right now?
A: Short answer: pay the mortgage unless you can reasonably expect an after‑tax return that beats your after‑tax borrowing cost by a wide margin and you’re comfortable with use risk. If your mortgage is 6.75% and you don’t itemize, every prepayment is a clean, risk‑free(ish) 6.75%. Margin investing, on the other hand, requires you to: (1) know your broker’s margin rate after tax, (2) have an expected return that’s meaningfully higher, personally I’d want a 3-5 percentage point cushion to account for volatility and the real chance of a bad year, and (3) hold ample cash/extra collateral to avoid a forced sale. If you’re asking because you’re on the fence, that’s usually a tell to go with the boring mortgage prepay, sleep > use.
Q: How do I compare my mortgage to margin the way the article suggests?
A: Use after‑tax, risk‑adjusted math, not vibes. Step 1: figure your after‑tax mortgage rate. If you don’t itemize deductions, it’s basically your sticker rate. The article notes only about 10% of filers itemized in 2022 after the TCJA, so most people are in that camp. If you do itemize, use: after‑tax rate = mortgage rate × (1 − marginal tax benefit). Step 2: get your broker’s current margin rate and your after‑tax cost of that borrowing. Step 3: compare your expected portfolio return minus the margin cost, then haircut it for volatility and the real risk of drawdowns and margin calls. If the spread isn’t comfortably positive after that haircut, the article’s “boring benchmark” (prepaying the mortgage) wins.
Q: Should I worry about margin calls if I keep 50% equity like Reg T says?
A: Yes, don’t get cute here. The article points out Reg T’s 50% initial margin and FINRA’s 25% maintenance (brokers often require 30-40%). Markets can gap down, and your broker can raise house requirements at the worst time. Practical setup: target 60-70% equity (i.e., borrow less), keep a cash buffer you can wire in within 24 hours, avoid concentrated single‑stock positions, and set alerts well above maintenance. And, honestly, have a prewritten deleverage plan, what you’ll sell and when, so you’re not making decisions while your blood pressure is spiking.
Q: What’s the difference between deducting mortgage interest and deducting margin interest?
A: Two different animals. Mortgage interest: generally deductible only if you itemize and only on qualified acquisition debt (limits apply; for loans after 2017, interest on up to $750k of acquisition debt may be deductible). Many households don’t itemize, so they get zero tax benefit. Margin (investment) interest: potentially deductible on Schedule A as investment interest expense, but only up to your net investment income (think interest, non‑qualified dividends, certain short‑term distributions). It does NOT offset qualified dividends or long‑term capital gains unless you make an election to treat them as investment income, giving up their lower tax rates. Unused amounts carry forward. Actionable tip: if you’re going to use margin, coordinate with your tax pro before year‑end to (a) estimate net investment income, (b) decide whether electing to treat qualified dividends/cap gains as investment income makes sense, and (c) avoid borrowing late in the year when you can’t actually use the deduction. Look, taxes won’t save a bad trade, but they can clean up the after‑tax math.
@article{margin-investing-vs-paying-off-your-mortgage-pro-playbook, title = {Margin Investing vs. Paying Off Your Mortgage: Pro Playbook}, author = {Beeri Sparks}, year = {2025}, journal = {Bankpointe}, url = {https://bankpointe.com/articles/margin-vs-mortgage-payoff/} }